Prediction Markets

Polymarket, Kalshi, and on-chain odds โ€” where the crowd prices what's actually going to happen. Analysis for investors who want signal, not noise.

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Prediction Markets
Polymarket-Kalshi arb on Fed rate hike in 2026 at 16ยข
Sharp 16ยข spread emerges on 2026 Fed hike probabilities between platforms. Traders exploit prediction market inefficiencies amid ongoing rate uncertai
June 22, 20265 min read
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Prediction Markets
Polymarket: Claude Opus Leads Best AI Model on June 20 at 94%
Prediction market heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking as top model today with 94% odds over fable-5. Reflects rapid AI capability shifts and inves
June 22, 20265 min read
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Prediction Markets
Prediction Markets Tighten Bitcoin Range Outlook
Polymarket/Kalshi-style markets price BTC into narrow band for week-end; rate hike odds shift sharply higher post-Fed. Reflects macro-driven caution i
June 22, 20265 min read

๐ŸŽฏ Prediction Markets โ€” Weekly Edge

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